“It wouldn’t go well with markets if the Fed tries to
muscle through with a rate hike when inflation isn’t showing signs of picking
up,” Costerg said. “Seeing a bottom in core inflation is important for the Fed.
This is not going to happen until mid-2015.” Others say disinflationary
pressures won’t keep the Fed from raising interest rates by mid-year.
“If the inflation numbers were going to be an
impediment to the Fed pulling the trigger in June, they would have signaled
it,” said Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at Maria Fiorini Ramirez Inc. in
New York. Blackberry Display Picture, Find Here!
San Francisco Fed researchers Galina Hale and Bart
Hobijn found in a 2011 paper that imports account for 13.9 percent of U.S.
consumer spending on goods and services. A 1 percent drop in the price of
foreign-made clothing, for instance, would reduce its cost on store shelves by
0.4 percent, according to Mericle and Mischaikow at Goldman. Similarly,
American consumers would pay 0.2 percent less for new automobiles. At their
last meeting in January, policy makers said that while price increases will
probably decelerate in coming months, “the Committee expects inflation to rise
gradually toward 2 percent over the medium term as the labor market improves
further and the transitory effects of lower energy prices and other factors
dissipate.”
0 komentar:
Post a Comment